The HIV incidence rate in Thailand has been on a continuous decline from 2013 to 2023, decreasing from 0.34 to 0.16 per uninfected population aged 15-49. This represents an overall reduction of over 50%. The current incidence rate in 2023 stands at 0.16. Recent trends in 2022 and 2023 show a year-on-year decline of 10.53% and 5.88% respectively, with a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of -7% over the last five years.
Forecasts predict a further decrease to 0.13 by 2028, marking a 5-year forecasted CAGR of -2.82%, which is a slower rate of decline compared to the past five years. The expected growth rate over this period is projected to be -13.33%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Implementation and impact of new HIV prevention initiatives and educational programs.
- Access to and uptake of Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) and other biomedical interventions.
- Changes in healthcare policies and funding impacting HIV treatment and support services.
