Forecast: Wines Consumption in Canada

The wine consumption in Canada has experienced varied growth from 2013 to 2023. The actual demand peaked in 2021 at 537.41 thousand kiloliters before fluctuating slightly. The period from 2013 to 2023 features both growth peaks and declines, with notable increases in 2015 and 2020 and decreases in 2019 and 2022. The year-on-year variation oscillates modestly, displaying an overall stabilization trend in recent years. Notably, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at virtually zero (0.0081%), indicating relative stagnation in consumption levels.

Looking ahead, forecasts from 2024 to 2028 suggest a slight decrease in wine consumption with a negative CAGR of -0.13%. This translates to a forecasted annual average variation of -0.65%, signaling a marginal but consistent downward trend in wine consumption volumes. This aligns with the broader pattern indicated by the recent data, projecting a leveling off in demand into the foreseeable future.

Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards low-alcohol or zero-alcohol wines, increased interest in organic and sustainably produced wines, and the impact of economic changes on discretionary spending.

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