In 2023, Canada reported approximately 1.88 thousand new and relapse tuberculosis cases. From 2024 to 2028, a steady increase in forecasted cases is observed, starting at 1.9 thousand in 2024 and reaching 1.96 thousand in 2028. This represents a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 0.53% from 2024 to 2025, and a similar pattern is projected through to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast is about 0.52%, indicating a stable but gradual rise in cases over this period.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of enhanced public health measures on reducing tuberculosis incidence, changes in immigration patterns affecting tuberculosis demographics, and advancements in medical treatments for more efficient case management. Additionally, evaluating the influence of socio-economic factors and healthcare access disparities on tuberculosis trends will be crucial for a comprehensive understanding.
