Between 2013 and 2023, Viet Nam saw a significant decrease in the number of adults newly infected with HIV, falling from 10,000 in 2013 to approximately 4,830 in 2023, reflecting a downward trend with a few fluctuations. The year-on-year variation in 2023 was a decrease of 8.06%, while the average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was -5.48%.

Looking forward, the forecast from 2024 to 2028 suggests a continued decline in new HIV infections among adults, with a projected five-year CAGR of -12.21% and an overall forecasted reduction of 47.86%. This highlights an ongoing and accelerated reduction in new cases.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential impact of new prevention and treatment programs on the infection rates.
Changes in public health policies affecting HIV transmission.
Socioeconomic factors and their influence on healthcare access and education.
The emergence of new technologies or medications that could further curb the spread of HIV.