Between 2013 and 2023, the incidence of HIV in Malaysia, expressed in units of the uninfected population aged 15-49, experienced fluctuations with an overall decreasing trend. The year 2023 saw a value of 0.21, reflecting no change from the previous year. Year-on-year variations showcased significant changes, including a noteworthy decrease of 25% in 2022, followed by stabilization in 2023. Over the past five years (2018-2023), the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) averaged -0.93%, indicating a slight overall reduction in HIV incidence.

Forecasts from 2024 onwards predict a continued decrease, with values reducing to 0.19 by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is -1.02%, projecting a 5% decrease in the incidence rate from 2023 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

Impact of new HIV prevention programs and public health initiatives.
Changes in social behavior and healthcare policies.
Development and distribution of medical advancements such as vaccines or more effective treatments.