In 2023, the number of road fatalities in Japan was 4.62 units per million vehicle-km. From 2024 to 2028, the forecasted data shows a consistent year-on-year reduction, with values projected to decline from 4.52 units in 2024 to 4.13 units in 2028. Over the last two years (2024-2025), the reduction percentage is approximately 2.4%, while from 2025 to 2026, the decrease is 2.3%. From 2026 to 2027, the decline is 2.2%, and from 2027 to 2028, it is around 2.1%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is about -2.1%.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technology, increased adoption of autonomous vehicles, elderly driver population dynamics, and government policies aiming to improve road infrastructure and enhance traffic law enforcement. These factors could further influence the reduction in road fatalities in Japan.
