Forecast: Sorghum Production in Nigeria

Over the past decade, Nigeria’s sorghum production has shown fluctuating trends. From 2014 to 2023, production largely hovered between 6.5 to 7.6 million metric tons with notable variances in year-on-year changes. The production peaked in 2016 with a 7.87% increase but faced a significant decline of 8.17% in 2017. The last two years saw minimal decreases of 0.12% each. As of 2023, production stood at 6.85 million metric tons, marking a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.15% over the last five years.

Future projections indicate a minor downward trend with a forecasted CAGR of -0.09% over the next five years, suggesting a slight decline to 6.81 million metric tons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of climate change on agricultural yields.
  • Government initiatives and policies on agricultural subsidies and support.
  • Technological advancements in farming practices.
  • Global market demand and export opportunities.

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