Forecast: Garlic Production in the US

Garlic production in the US has shown fluctuating growth over the years. In 2013, production stood at 175.4 thousand metric tons and saw slight annual variations before experiencing substantial increases from 2015 to 2018, peaking at 260.34 thousand metric tons in 2018. However, production dipped in 2019 and 2020, before rebounding in the subsequent years. By 2023, garlic production stood at 256.91 thousand metric tons. The projected figures indicate a steady upward trend, reaching 275.16 thousand metric tons by 2028.

The year-on-year variations for recent years were modest, with a 1.38% increase in 2023 and a 1.43% increase in 2022. The five-year average growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is forecasted to be 1.08%, resulting in a cumulative growth rate of 5.53% over the same period.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on agricultural yields, shifts in domestic and international demand, and advancements in agricultural technology that may further enhance productivity. Supply chain disruptions or changes in trade policies could also influence future production levels.

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