The garlic production in Kenya has seen some significant fluctuations over the past decade. The highest production was recorded in 2017 at 2.49 thousand metric tons, while the lowest was in 2014 at 0.84 thousand metric tons. By 2023, the production stood at 1.91 thousand metric tons. The average variation per year, or CAGR, for the past five years is 2.09%. The most recent trend indicates a slight decline with -1.14% change year-on-year from 2022 to 2023. Looking forward, the forecast suggests a continued decline, with an expected five-year CAGR of -0.97% and a forecasted production of 1.80 thousand metric tons by 2028.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of climate change on agricultural production.
- Shifts in market demand for garlic both locally and globally.
- Technological advancements in farming practices.
- Government policies affecting agricultural import and export.
