Forecast: Citrus Production in Nigeria

Citrus production in Nigeria has shown a consistent upward trend from 2013 through 2023, reaching 4.3352 million metric tons in 2023. While the year-on-year growth rate has varied, there was a notable decline of 4% in 2020. However, the industry rebounded strongly in 2021 with a growth of 6.38%, continuing to grow modestly through 2023 with annual growth rates around 1%. Over the past five years, the CAGR has been 1.07%. Looking forward, forecasts indicate a continued, albeit slower, growth rate with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.79% and an overall growth rate of 4.03% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

- Impacts of technological advancements and agronomic practices on yield improvements.

- Influence of climate change on citrus production patterns and output.

- Government policies and international trade agreements affecting the citrus industry.

- Shifts in domestic and global demand for citrus products.

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