Forecast: Influenza Mortality in Germany

Influenza mortality in Germany is projected to steadily increase from 3.65 thousand deaths in 2024 to 5.22 thousand by 2028. In comparison, the 2023 recorded mortality stood at a similar level to 2024, indicating an upward trend throughout the forecast period. From 2024 to 2028, the expected year-on-year growth ranges between approximately 8% to 9%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 9% over these five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential impacts of emerging influenza strains and their resistance to current vaccines.
  • The effectiveness and uptake of vaccination programs.
  • Public health measures and healthcare preparedness in response to influenza seasons.

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