In 2023, China's pear production was at 2.06 ten million metric tons. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase in production, starting at 2.13 ten million metric tons in 2024 and reaching 2.42 by 2028, reflecting an annual growth of approximately 1% to 3% year-on-year. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for pear production over this period is estimated to be around 3%.
Future trends to watch include:
- Improvements in agricultural technology that could enhance yield and quality.
- Potential changes in domestic and international demand affecting production levels.
- Environmental factors such as climate change impacting agricultural productivity.
