Forecast: Import of Pears and Quinces to Japan

In 2023, Japan's import value of pears and quinces stood at a notable figure before projected declines. From 2024 onwards, a significant year-on-year decrease is observed, starting at $52.63K in 2024 and descending to $25.9K by 2028. Over this five-year span, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a substantial reduction. This downward trend could be attributed to shifting consumer preferences, agricultural policy changes, or economic factors impacting import demands.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential changes in trade agreements that might influence import costs.
  • Japan's domestic production trends potentially offsetting import needs.
  • Consumer behavior shifts towards different fruit choices impacting demand.
  • Global supply chain fluctuations affecting availability and pricing.

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