The coffee market in Indonesia exhibited significant volatility over the past decade. In 2023, the market stood at 99,000 metric tons, showing a modest year-on-year growth of 2.06%. The longer-term analysis reveals a CAGR of -2.26% from 2018-2023, indicating a generally declining trend. Notable fluctuations include drastic drops in 2015 (-82.19%) and substantial recoveries in 2018 (+270%). The past two years indicate stabilization with modest growth rates, suggesting recovery from prior volatility. Forecasts anticipate a steadier growth trajectory with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 1.92% leading up to 2028, resulting in a 9.95% overall growth rate.
Future trends to watch include potential market expansion driven by increasing consumer demand for premium and specialty coffee, alongside potential regulatory changes affecting coffee trade and production sustainability measures. Additionally, technological innovations in coffee farming and processing could further impact market dynamics.
