The forecast for Canada’s infant mortality rate shows a gradual decline from 4.2 deaths per thousand live births in 2024 to 4.0 in 2028. The rate maintained stability, dropping by approximately 2.4% from 2024 to 2025 and remaining constant in the subsequent years. This consistency reflects a modest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -1.21% over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028. Notably, the trend towards lower infant mortality aligns with past reductions and suggests ongoing improvements in healthcare and prenatal care systems.
Looking ahead, future trends to watch include advancements in neonatal care, healthcare policy changes, and socio-economic factors that may impact birth outcomes. Continued focus on reducing healthcare disparities could further influence declining mortality rates. Monitoring these elements could provide insights into whether the downward trend remains steady or accelerates.
