The infant mortality rate in the US is forecasted to display a gradual decline from 5.3 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2024 to 5.1 by 2028. In 2023, this rate was at 5.4. Year-on-year, this reflects a steady decrease: 2024-2025 shows no change, 2025-2026 declines by 1.9%, 2026-2027 declines by 1.9%, and no change from 2027-2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is computed to show a reduction trend of 1% on average annually.
Key future trends to monitor include advancements in healthcare access, maternal health improvements, socioeconomic disparities, and policy changes affecting newborn care. These could significantly impact future infant mortality rates.
