In 2023, Brazil's import of fresh grapes was 19.555 million kilograms. The forecast for 2024 indicates a slight decline to 19.241 million kilograms, marking a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year. This downward trend continues, with imports expected to fall to 18.905 million kilograms in 2025, further decreasing by 1.7% year-on-year. By 2028, the import volume is projected to reach 17.939 million kilograms, reflecting a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of -1.7% over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in Brazil's domestic grape production capacity, potentially impacting import dependence.
- Changes in consumer preferences towards locally sourced produce.
- Global trade policies and tariffs affecting import costs and availability.
- Climate change impacts on grape production in key exporting countries.