In 2023, China's share of scientific publications among the world's 10% top-cited publications in artificial intelligence was slightly below 10%. The forecasted data indicates a steady increase from 2024 to 2028, reaching 10.8%. This represents a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 2.2% to 2.3% over the period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years reflects a modest but consistent upward trend in the country's scientific impact in AI research.
Future trends to watch for include the potential acceleration of China's AI research capabilities, competitive dynamics with other leading nations in AI, and the impact of governmental and industrial investment in AI innovation and infrastructure.
