Forecast: Number of Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in the US

In 2023, the number of scientific publications in artificial intelligence in the US reached approximately 3.67 thousand. Forecasts suggest steady growth in AI publications from 2024 to 2028, with an average annual increase of around 1.2% per year. Comparing the figures of 2024 and 2025, the forecasted growth is 2.13%, indicating a sustained interest and investment in AI research. The CAGR over the five-year period starting in 2024 is predicted to be approximately 1.27%, reflecting a consistent upward trend.

Future trends to watch for include increased interdisciplinary research combining AI with fields such as health sciences, environmental studies, and transportation. Additionally, policy changes and ethical considerations in AI development could influence publication rates, as well as advancements in machine learning techniques and increased access to AI research funding.

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