In China, the production of oranges and mandarins has shown a consistent upward trend from 2014 to 2023, with a slight decline in 2019 and 2020. The year 2023 stood at 29.3 million metric tons, showcasing a 0.99% year-on-year increase. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is 0.59%, indicating modest but steady growth. From 2024 onwards, production is forecasted to continue growing, reaching 30.8 million metric tons by 2028, with an expected five-year CAGR of 0.79% and a total forecasted growth rate of 4% over the next five years.
Future trends to monitor include potential impacts of climate change on agricultural yields, advancements in agricultural technology, and shifts in domestic and international demand for citrus fruits. Attention should also be paid to government policies and subsidies that could influence production capacity and export opportunities.
