From 2013 to 2023, the citrus yield in Kenya has shown a general decline. The yield stood at 70.5 thousand hectograms per hectare in 2023, down 1.82% from the previous year. The last five years witnessed an average annual decrease (CAGR) of -2.79%. Year-on-year variations have consistently fluctuated, with notable drops in 2016 (-12.19%) and steady declines thereafter, with a few intermittent positive variations, such as in 2021 (3.34%).
Future trends indicate a continued decline in citrus yield, with an expected further annual decrease (forecasted CAGR) of -1.62% over the next five years to 2028. Analysts should monitor:
- Climate Change Impacts
- Adoption of Modern Agricultural Practices
- Governmental Agricultural Policies
- Pest and Disease Management Strategies
