The forecast for gas oil and diesel oil (excluding biofuel) refinery output in Germany suggests a consistent decline from 2024 through 2028. The value in 2023 stood at 1.6664 million terajoules, reflecting the beginning of this downward trend. Year-on-year, Germany's output is projected to decrease by roughly 0.75% annually, with a calculated CAGR of approximately -0.75% over the five-year forecast period.

Future trends to watch for include:

Continued pressure from environmental regulations pushing for reduced fossil fuel consumption.
Potential shifts in energy policies as the government invests in renewable energy sources, potentially hastening the decline in refinery outputs.
Technological advancements in energy efficiency and alternative fuel developments that may impact demand for traditional diesel and gas oils.