Examining the maternal death rate (lifetime risk) in Nigeria from 2013-2023 reveals a largely stagnant trend interspersed with minor fluctuations. From 2013 to 2017, the rate remained stable at 16-17. However, a significant spike occurred in 2020 with an 11.76% YoY increase, peaking at 19 before dropping to 17 in 2021. The following years depicted moderate variability, eventually settling at 18 in 2023.
Considering the forecasted data, the maternal death rate is expected to stabilize at 18 units from 2024 to 2028, indicating a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0%. Thus, it is anticipated that there will be no significant improvements or declines in this metric through 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Impact of healthcare initiatives on maternal health outcomes.
- Government policy changes to address maternal mortality.
- Socio-economic factors influencing maternal health.