Forecast: Maternal Death Rate (Lifetime Risk) in Indonesia

From 2013 to 2023, the maternal death rate in Indonesia revealed some notable trends. Through 2017, the rate held steady at 220 unit ratios, showcasing a period of stagnation. However, 2019 marked a dramatic spike to 310, a year-on-year increase of 34.78%. Subsequent years saw fluctuating yet high values, with the rate reaching 315 in 2023, showing a 4.3% increase from 2022. The 5-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 stands at 6.49%.

Forecasting from 2024 onward, the maternal death rate continues to climb, rising from 327 to 377 unit ratios in 2028. This indicates a 5-year forecasted CAGR of 2.89% and an overall growth rate of 15.29% during this period.

Future trends to watch for include potential policy interventions, healthcare improvements, and socioeconomic factors that could influence the maternal death rate. Continuous monitoring will be essential to adapt strategies and mitigate risks associated with maternal health in Indonesia.

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