Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Gastroenterology in China

In China, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in gastroenterology is projected to slightly decrease from 99.01% in 2024 to 98.98% by 2028. This reflects a very modest decline of 0.03% over the five years, suggesting a stagnation in authorship trends. The year-on-year decrease is minimal, indicating stability in the commanding share of local authorships in this domain. Given the preceding data, it was at a similar level in 2023, signaling sustained dominance by Chinese authors in their publications.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of international collaboration efforts and policy changes promoting diversity in authorship. Additionally, advancements in gastroenterology could influence research dynamics and shift the authorship landscape in China. Furthermore, enhanced digital platforms and increasing academic exchanges might slightly modify the dominance of domestic authorship in this field.

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