Forecast: Pre-Paid Mobile Service Subscribers in France

The prepaid mobile service market in France has shown a consistent decline from 2013 to 2023, decreasing from 12.77 million subscribers in 2013 to 4.19 million in 2023, a 67.19% reduction overall. In the past two years, the year-on-year variation has been notable, with a decline of 15.68% in 2022 and 12.69% in 2023. The CAGR over the last five years stands at -10.66%, representing an annual average shrinkage in the number of subscribers.

Looking ahead, the forecast indicates that the downward trend will continue, with subscribers dropping to 1.02 million by 2028. This represents a substantial reduction, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -21.96%, signaling a 71.06% decrease in the subscriber base.

Future trends to watch for:

• Continued decline in prepaid mobile service subscribers as consumers switch to postpaid plans or alternative communication methods.
• Potential shifts in market strategies by telecom companies to adapt to decreasing prepaid subscriber bases and capture new market opportunities.
• The impact of technological advancements and regulatory changes on the telecom industry, particularly concerning prepaid services.