In 2023, Italy's infant mortality rate stood at 2.2 deaths per thousand live births. The forecast for 2024 indicates a slight decline to 2.1, continuing a downward trend through to 2028 where it is projected to reach 1.8. Each year, the rate decreases, showing a consistent downward trend with a year-on-year reduction of around 5% between 2024 and 2025, and 5% again from 2025 to 2026. From 2026 to 2027, the rate holds steady before falling again in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this forecast period is approximately -3.92%.
Looking forward, it is essential for stakeholders to monitor potential fluctuations in healthcare policies and innovations in infant care that may further drive down the infant mortality rate. Additionally, any economic changes impacting healthcare access could alter the projected trajectory.