As of 2023, smoking prevalence among persons aged 15+ in the US stood at 9.5%. Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady decline: 9.1% in 2024, 8.7% in 2025, 8.4% in 2026, 8.1% in 2027, and 7.8% in 2028. This trend suggests an average yearly decrease of approximately 0.4 percentage points. The annual decline from 2023 to 2024 is 4.21%, with a similar downward trend continuing in subsequent years. The CAGR over this five-year period is approximately -4.84%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Impacts of policy changes, such as increased taxes and more stringent advertising restrictions, on smoking rates.
Shifts in public perception and cultural attitudes towards smoking.
Advancements in smoking cessation technologies and their accessibility.
Increased awareness and education efforts around smoking-related health risks.