The forecasted data for the incidence of Tuberculosis (including HIV-positive cases) in Nigeria shows a significant declining trend from 2024 to 2028. Starting from 9.0 units (cases per hundred thousand persons) in 2024, there is a steady decrease to 0.0 units by 2028. This represents a year-on-year reduction of -22.22% from 2024 to 2025, -28.57% from 2025 to 2026, and a steep -60% from 2026 to 2027, culminating in a complete eradication forecast by 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for this period would indicate a rapid average annual decrease in TB incidence, highlighting effective measures in TB control and prevention.
Looking ahead, it’s critical to monitor the sustainability of this declining trend in TB incidence. Factors such as healthcare infrastructure improvements, increased TB awareness, and better access to treatment should continue to be emphasized. Additionally, vigilance against possible setbacks like drug-resistant TB strains or reductions in healthcare funding is necessary to maintain and improve upon these projected outcomes.
