Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine in Italy

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine in Italy is showing a gradual decline, moving from 87.79% in 2024 to 86.04% in 2028. This trend indicates a consistent decrease of around 0.47% per year. As of 2023, the figure stood at approximately 88.23%, suggesting a negative year-on-year change from 2023 to 2024. Over the last five years, the CAGR reflects a decreasing trend, emphasizing a shift towards more collaborative authorship.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increasing international collaboration could further dilute the share of Italian corresponding authors.
  • Potential policy or funding changes aimed at encouraging teamwork and diversity in research authorship.
  • Technological advancements that enable cross-border research collaboration may influence authorship dynamics.

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