The forecast for the total number of 10% top-cited scientific publications in Human-Computer Interaction in the UK shows a steady increase from 61.66 publications in 2024 to 62.68 in 2028. In 2023, this number was 61.43, indicating a consistent upward trend.
Year-on-year analysis reveals slight growth with variations of approximately 0.54% from 2024 to 2025, 0.44% from 2025 to 2026, 0.37% from 2026 to 2027, and 0.30% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is around 0.42%, reflecting moderate growth in top-cited research output.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts of technological advancements and policy shifts on research outputs. Growing inter-disciplinary collaborations could further enhance citation rates and visibility of UK research in global HCI studies.