The density of generalist medical practitioners in Indonesia has seen a significant increase over the years. Starting at 170 health professionals per unit persons in 2013 and remaining stable until 2017, the number experienced a sharp rise from 2018 onwards. In 2018, there was a notable growth to 230.0 health professionals followed by a slight decline in 2019, which was reverse in 2020 with a remarkable surge to 510.0. By 2023, the density stood at 760.0 health professionals per unit persons, reflecting an 18.75% year-on-year increase from 2022.
From 2024 onwards, the forecast models show continued robust growth, with expected densities reaching 870.0 in 2024 and projected to 1330.0 by 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the last 5 years up to 2023 was 27%, while the 5-year forecast CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is estimated at 8.86%, corresponding to a 52.87% growth rate over these forecasted years.
Future trends to watch for include potential government policies focused on healthcare improvements, the impact of technological advancements on medical practice densities, and demographic changes impacting healthcare demand.