Forecast: Fresh Blueberries Export in Canada

Between 2013 and 2023, Canada's export of fresh blueberries exhibited fluctuating tendencies. The high growth from 2013 to 2015 was followed by declines in 2016 and 2017. Thereafter, the trend was generally down, reaching the lowest point in 2021 with a small uptick in 2022 and 2023. In 2023, the export volume stood at 27.57 thousand metric tons, representing a minor year-on-year increase of 0.58%. The 5-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) leading up to 2023 was -2.72%, indicating an overall decline.

Projected data from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual increase in export volumes, with an expected CAGR of 0.85%, leading to a growth rate of 4.34% over the period. The outlook suggests a stabilization, with export volumes anticipated to modestly rebound and reach 29.09 thousand metric tons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Market demand dynamics in key international markets.
  • Impacts of climate change on blueberry yields.
  • Trade policies affecting export logistics and costs.
  • Innovations in agricultural practices that may improve yields and quality.

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