Forecast: Share of Physicians Employed in Hospitals in the Netherlands

From 2013 to 2023, the share of physicians employed in hospitals in the Netherlands exhibited variability, with an average value of 10.74 in 2023. Notable fluctuations included a peak in 2014 with an 8.25% increase year-on-year, followed by a significant decline in 2015 (-13.1%). Thereafter, changes oscillated, with slight upward movements in 2019 (+9.27%) and 2022 (+9.29%), and downward movements in 2021 (-6.93%). Across this period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicated modest growth, averaging around 1.38% from 2018 to 2023.

Looking ahead, the forecast for 2024 to 2028 suggests a stable trend, with minor annual growth approximately at a CAGR of 0.11%. The overall growth rate over this period is projected to reach 0.56%. Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of healthcare policy changes, technological advances, and shifts in hospital employment structures, which could affect the proportion of physician employment.

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