Forecast: Coffee Import Volume in Indonesia

Indonesia's coffee import volume has displayed significant fluctuations between 2014 and 2023. It peaked notably in 2018 before declining and stabilizing, with 2023 marking a value of 176.0 thousand metric tons. The year-on-year variations highlight substantial ups and downs, particularly with a notable 137.14% surge in 2018 and a subsequent period of fluctuations.

Recent annual variations show:

• 2023 with a 4.76% increase compared to 2022.
• 2022 with a 4.35% increase compared to 2021.

The average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the 2019–2023 period stands at 1.18%, suggesting modest growth.

Looking ahead, projected data indicate a steady positive trend with a forecasted CAGR of 3.18% over the next five years, reaching an expected volume of 215.48 thousand metric tons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on crop yields, shifts in global coffee demand, and ongoing policies that affect trade balances, which could either boost or constrain coffee import volumes in Indonesia.