In 2023, Brazil recorded 15.73 thousand new clinically diagnosed pulmonary tuberculosis cases. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows a slight downward trend, with cases decreasing from 15.59 thousand in 2024 to 15.05 thousand in 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of about 0.9% in 2025 and 2026, followed by a 0.9% decrease in 2027 and 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) amounts to approximately -0.9%.
Future trends to watch for include factors affecting tuberculosis transmission such as improvements in healthcare access, vaccination rates, and public health policies. Monitoring these elements could provide further insights into potential reductions or increases in case numbers.
