In 2024, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications within the UK in the fields of Ecology, Evolution, Behavior, and Systematics is forecasted to be 77.42%. This value represents a slight decrease from the actual figures of previous years. Year-on-year analysis shows a gradual decline over the upcoming years, with percentages dropping modestly to 76.07% by 2028. The average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over these five years illustrates a continuous downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include shifts in collaborative publishing models, increased cross-border research cooperation, and potential changes in academic incentive structures that may further influence authorship patterns. Monitoring advancements in technology and open access publishing could also impact these trends significantly.
