The production of coconuts and copra in Kenya showed significant fluctuations between 2014 and 2023. Starting from 64.0 Thousand Metric Tons in 2014, production peaked at 115.0 Thousand Metric Tons in 2016 before experiencing a decline and stabilizing in the range of 92.0 to 101.0 Thousand Metric Tons over the next few years. The value stood at 105.0 Thousand Metric Tons in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 1.94%. The overall Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 was 2.46%, showing moderate growth in the latter period.
Key year-on-year variations include a dramatic increase of 54.69% from 2014 to 2015, followed by a decline of 20% in 2017. Between 2019 and 2021, growth rates varied, with a notable dip in 2020 followed by a recovery in subsequent years. The most recent year, 2023, continued this trend with a modest increase of 1.94%.
Looking ahead, forecasted data indicate that Kenyan coconuts and copra production is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1.42% from 2023 to 2028, achieving an average growth rate of 7.31% over these five years.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impacts of climate change on crop yields, advancements in agricultural technology, and changing market demands both locally and internationally. These factors could influence overall productivity and economic viability in the sector.
