The forecast for tea production in Japan reveals a gradual decline, with values reducing from 80.98 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 79.74 thousand metric tons in 2028. In 2023, actual production stood at approximately 81.3 thousand metric tons, highlighting a consistent downward trend over the forecast period.

Year-on-year variations indicate a slight annual reduction of around 0.39%, 0.38%, 0.39%, and 0.37% from 2024 to 2028, respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent decline of approximately 0.38% annually.

Future trends to watch for include:

Impact of climate change on tea cultivation and yields.
Potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative beverages.
Technological advancements aimed at increasing production efficiency and sustainability.
Government policies supporting the tea industry and measures to counteract declining production.