The import of black tea in packages over 3 kg to China is forecasted to grow steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 37.678 million kilograms in 2024 and reaching 43.725 million kilograms in 2028. As of 2023, this figure was approximately 36 million kilograms, indicating a consistent upward trend.
The year-on-year growth rates are as follows: 4.1% for 2025, 3.9% for 2026, 3.7% for 2027, and 3.5% for 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is estimated to be approximately 3.8%.
Trends to watch for the future include the impact of changing consumer preferences for premium tea products, potential shifts in trade policies, and the influence of China's growing middle class, which could further drive demand for imported black tea.
