In 2023, the percentage of persons aged 15-24 who are daily smokers stood at 19.0%. As we progress into 2024, this figure is forecasted to decrease to 18.7%, reflecting a year-on-year reduction of 1.58%. Continuing this trend, the values for 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028 are forecasted at 18.4%, 18.2%, 17.9%, and 17.7%, respectively. These figures show consistent year-on-year decreases of approximately 1.6%, 1.1%, 1.65%, and 1.12%. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period is around -1.43%, indicating a steady decline in tobacco consumption among this demographic group.
Future trends to watch for include increased regulatory measures, ongoing public health campaigns, rising popularity of alternative nicotine products, and potential socio-economic changes that could influence smoking behavior among young adults.
