The total daily smoker population in Finland is forecasted to decline steadily from 11.1% in 2024 to 9.9% by 2028. This consistent year-on-year decrease reflects an annual average decline rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.9% over this five-year period. The data indicates a clear downward trend in smoking prevalence among persons aged 15 and older.
Notable variations over the forecast period include:
- -2.7% from 2024 to 2025
- -2.8% from 2025 to 2026
- -2.9% from 2026 to 2027
- -2.9% from 2027 to 2028
Future trends to watch for include the impact of governmental anti-smoking campaigns, regulatory changes, and increasing societal awareness of health risks associated with smoking. Additionally, the rise of alternative nicotine products such as e-cigarettes may influence smoking rates further.