As of 2024, France's forecasted pear production shows a declining trend from 98.3 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 80.5 thousand metric tons by 2028. Compared to 2023, where the production stood at around similar levels, the year-on-year declines highlight a consistent downward trajectory. Specifically, the variations indicate an ongoing contraction with an average annual decrease per the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflecting sustained negative rates over these five years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Climate change impacts and their effect on agricultural productivity.
- Shifts in local and global demand for pears and consumer preferences.
- Potential technological advancements in production efficiency.
- Policy changes related to agriculture and trade in France and the EU.
