Forecast: Pears Supply in China

In 2023, the supply of pears in China was approximately 18.9 million metric tons. The forecast for 2024 anticipates an increase to 19.32 million metric tons, representing a year-on-year growth of about 2.22%. The trend is expected to continue with growth rates of 2.27% in 2025, 2.19% in 2026, 2.13% in 2027, and 2.07% in 2028. Over the forecasted period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated at roughly 2.18%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential impacts of climate change on pear production.
  • Technological advancements in agricultural practices.
  • Changes in local and international demand for Chinese pears.
  • Policy and trade developments affecting agricultural exports.

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