In 2023, the supply of pears in China was approximately 18.9 million metric tons. The forecast for 2024 anticipates an increase to 19.32 million metric tons, representing a year-on-year growth of about 2.22%. The trend is expected to continue with growth rates of 2.27% in 2025, 2.19% in 2026, 2.13% in 2027, and 2.07% in 2028. Over the forecasted period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated at roughly 2.18%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential impacts of climate change on pear production.
- Technological advancements in agricultural practices.
- Changes in local and international demand for Chinese pears.
- Policy and trade developments affecting agricultural exports.