Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Ecology in Brazil

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in ecology in Brazil is forecasted to steadily increase from 94.66% in 2024 to 94.76% in 2028. In 2023, this share stood at approximately 94.63%, indicating a slow but consistent upward trend. From 2024 to 2023, the year-on-year variation is minimal, with a less than 0.1% increase each year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 suggests an average annual increase of around 0.03% despite modest progression.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The potential impact of new policy changes on scientific collaboration in Brazil.
  • Emergence of innovative research methods or technologies that could alter author roles.
  • Shifts in international collaborations possibly affecting corresponding author shares.

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