In 2023, New Zealand exported 527 metric tons of avocados to Japan. The forecasted values for the following years show a consistent decrease in export volumes. Specifically, the exports are expected to decline from 512 metric tons in 2024 to 451 metric tons by 2028. This signifies a year-on-year percentage change of approximately -3.13% on average from 2024 to 2028.
Key points to note:
• 2024: 512 metric tons
• 2025: 496 metric tons (3.13% decline)
• 2026: 481 metric tons (3.02% decline)
• 2027: 466 metric tons (3.12% decline)
• 2028: 451 metric tons (3.22% decline)
The average annual decrease (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -3.12%. This downward trend may be attributed to various factors such as market conditions, competitive dynamics, or supply chain constraints.
Future trends to monitor include the impact of climatic conditions on avocado yield, changes in consumer demand in Japan, and potential shifts in trade policies or tariffs. Additionally, keeping an eye on advancements in agricultural technology and practices that may enhance production efficiency in New Zealand could also alter future export volumes.
