Forecast: Female Daily Smokers in the UK

In 2023, the percentage of female daily smokers in the UK stood at 12.3% of persons aged 15 and over. Forecasted data shows a declining trend in smoking rates among women: 11.9% in 2024, 11.5% in 2025, 11.1% in 2026, 10.7% in 2027, and 10.3% in 2028. Year-on-year percentage variation for the forecasted period indicates a consistent reduction in smoking rates:

- 2024 to 2025: -3.36%

- 2025 to 2026: -3.48%

- 2026 to 2027: -3.60%

- 2027 to 2028: -3.74%

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decline of approximately -3.46% over the last five years.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of regulatory changes, public health campaigns, and the introduction of alternatives such as vaping. These factors could further accelerate the decline in female daily smokers or potentially stabilize it at a certain level.

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