The forecast for whole fresh Atlantic mackerel production in Italy's capture fisheries for human consumption shows a clear declining trend from 2024 to 2028. Production is expected to drop from 321.7 metric tons in 2024 to 65.5 metric tons in 2028, indicating significant year-on-year decreases. In the short term, from 2024 to 2025, there's a reduction of approximately 21%, followed by a sharper decline of around 26% from 2025 to 2026. From 2026 to 2027, production decreases by 33%, and from 2027 to 2028, it further contracts by nearly 48%. Looking at the entire period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these years suggests a significant average annual decline.

Future trends to watch for include:

Impact of fishing regulations on mackerel stock replenishment.
Demand shifts in domestic and international markets influencing production priorities.
Environmental changes affecting mackerel habitats.
Technological advancements in sustainable fishing practices.