Forecast: Milk Production in Kenya

The milk production in Kenya saw fluctuations between 2013 and 2023. Starting at approximately 4.89 million metric tons in 2013, production experienced a mix of declines and growths. The most notable hike was in 2016 with a 15.33% year-on-year increase, followed by a significant drop in 2017. From 2018 onward, a more stable growth trend emerged, reaching 5.74 million metric tons in 2023. The CAGR over the last five years (2018-2023) was approximately 2.9%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The forecasted growth in milk production from 2024 to 2028 provides an average annual growth rate of 1.23%.
  • By 2028, production is expected to reach 6.21 million metric tons, marking a 6.29% increase from 2023.
  • Monitoring agricultural policies, climate change impacts, and advancements in dairy farming technology will be critical for understanding future production dynamics.

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