Forecast: Citrus Yield in South Africa

In 2023, the citrus yield in South Africa stood at 345.75 thousand hectograms per hectare. The data from the past decade shows fluctuations with a general upward trend in recent years. The year-on-year variation shows that the trend has been relatively stable, with moderate increases in the last two years (+0.69% in 2022 and +0.67% in 2023). The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the last 5 years was 0.57%, indicating a steady, albeit slow, increase.

Forecasts suggest a consistent growth, with the yield expected to reach 357.78 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is 0.54%, with an expected growth rate of 2.73% over this period.

Future trends to watch for:

- Impact of climate change on citrus yields.

- Advancements in agricultural technologies and practices.

- Economic and policy changes affecting the agricultural sector.

- Market demand fluctuations both locally and internationally.

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